Saturday 5 April 2014

Chevron- Still Up Despite Missing the Earnings Estimates

According to Stock market news, Chevron Corp (CVX) exhibited the decline in its stock price by 4% and is being traded at a stock price of $112.41. The reason attributed was the low earnings reported by the company for its fourth quarter ended Dec, 2013. Chevron announced its result for the fourth quarter on January 31st 2014 which suddenly sparked World stock markets news due to decline in stock market price of the company.
Company Overview
Chevron (CVX) is one of the major players of US energy sector with reputable name in the Oil, Gas and consumable fuel industry. Company was formulated from ongoing acquisitions and mergers of oil companies with most famous name to be Standard Oil of California merged with Gulf Oil in 1984 which was later rebranded as Chevron. Chevron presents its self as integrated oil company to provide value at every level of supply chain by its two main segments of upstream and downstream. Earnings and revenues contributed for the two segments are inversely related as upstream segment, responsible for oil exploration and production, generates low revenues but high earnings whereas downstream segment, related to refining and petroleum products, generates low  revenues but high earnings.
The company has been generating lucrative revenues from 2010 and has become one of the best stocks to invest in. Investors looking for value investing in stock market shares could consider Chevron as one of the investment options.
Industry Analyses
Chevron belongs to the sub-industry, Integrated Oil and Gas which in terms of market capitalization is the largest. Company makes to the list of Super majors or Big Oil with other essential players like Exxon Mobil Corp. and Royal Dutch Shell Plc. Revenues of the industry for the fiscal year ending 2012 was $4 trillion with sub industry market capitalization of $2.7 trillion.
Big Four super majors of industry are Chevron, Exxon, BP PLC and Royal Dutch Shell with the total reserves in terms of barrel oil equivalents till 2012 to be 11.3 bn, 25.2 bn, 17.0 bn and 13.6 bn, respectively.
Financial Performance for fourth quarter 2014
Earnings for the fourth quarter plunged 32% as revenues for the company dropped by $56.25 billion to $53.95 billion showing YoY decline of 4.26% in revenues. The net income for the company showed year over year decline of 4.70%, down from $7.25 billion to $4.93 billion. Earnings per share announced for the fourth quarter is $2.47 down from last year EPS of $3.78, which has missed the analysts’ estimate of $2.58.
Chevron can accuse its oil and gas production for the downward trend shown in earnings and revenues as oil and gas production segment has plunged 3.5% from its preceding year production of 2576000 oil-equivalents barrel per day. The domestic production dropped by 3% where international oil and gas production exhibited 4% decline. This could be taken as bigger hit as international market generates around 75% of total revenues. The effect was doubled due to the hike in natural gas prices which further narrowed the company’s gross margin.
Investment Perspective
Despite company missed the analysts’ estimate of earnings it is still recommended as ‘Buy’ by The Street Rating Teams. The reason given for recommending it as best investment stock is the company’s ability to outperform the industry in terms of growth as industry average stands to be 5.7%. Moreover the last quarter revenues are still up by 1.6% and though the issues for the low revenues were faced by all the industry players, Chevron managed to increase its revenues.
The fact that debt to equity ratio for the company is lower compared to the industry average and the 33.45% increase shown in cash flows from operations, both indicates that company has ability to generate enough cash reserves for the capital expenditure as well as for the dividend payment thus not to worry the dividend investors.
As far as stock market price is considered company has the same closing price compared to the previous year even though the earnings are low. The impact of low stock price due to earnings is just the effect of overall declining trend in stock market.

No comments:

Post a Comment